Probability Success

P(E) = E (Favourable)/E(Attempts)

P(Success) = E (Success) / E (Try)

P(Success) = k*E(Success)

P(Success) = l/E (Try)

But , E(Success) C E(Try)

And , P(Success) != E(Success)

So, E(Try) --> P(Success) --> E(Success)


Probability of an event, P(E) is the ratio of the Samples spaces of favourable outcome to the Total Number of sample space

Probability of success is ratio of attempts resulting in favourable outcome to the total number of attempts.

A ratio increases when the denominator decreases or numerator increases.

In probability of success numerator set is a subset of denominator set. Increasing the denominator may lead to increase in the elements in numerator set.
So increase the denominator set, i.e, the number of attempts until you reach the required outcome, because probability of success is not equal to event success.

A single successful outcome changes the probability game to a successful event.

chand lamhe dhoop ke ek lamha chaaya
jo lamha beet gaya laut kar na aaya

aakh muunde kyo khada hai aadmi

मेरी त्रिवेणी...what is triveni...go here http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triveni_(poetry)

HAZARO KHAWAISHE AISE KE
HAR KWAISH PE DUM NIKLE

BHAUT NIKLE MERE ARAMA
MAGAR PHIR BHI KAM NIKLE

Financial Crisis

What we are facing today and will face tomorrow is nothing new to this world.As our financial markets has been through numerous such finacial crashes and down turns in the past(1929,1987,1990,1995,2001).The only thing that differs it that we were not a eye witness to what has happened in the past.
As per my understanding, this will also pass by though not so stealithly.These times are testing times when we need a good amount of patience and innovative approach.But why do we or for that matter the financial history keep witnessing such down turns and crashes,first reason might be the very obvious law of gravitation, what goes up has to come down and the second might be that once the bad times are over, as a nature of human psychology we tend to forget bad things (don't tell me that human learn from there mistakes) and start moving at even faster pace.

So what can be predicted is even a steeper rise once this phase is over and again a sharper fall,say a crash of 2020 after a rise in 2012,if we don't put mearures in place because as I say that we should learn from our mistakes but we don't do that until there are laws to enforce them.

Money works as a lubricant in the finacial machinary of the modern economic systems.And when we talk of free economies,booms and busts are a key ingredients of the broth.Those of us who are allured by this broth garnished by BOOM and pop up uninvited for "the free lunch" have to pay heavy price for what WATER when our mouth is full of those underlying black pepers of BUST.

So Keep watching and keep "LEARNING"

HORIZON

Mein Samaye Hu !!!

" Mein Samaye Hu !!! " Remember this phrase from Mahabharta. A serial which was see religiously on every SUNDAY by majority of Indian accross the age group.

It was not just a TV serial but an event which use to bring together the whole family from an 8 year old kid to 80 year old granny cutting across the so called 'generation gap', a phenomenon that could not be achieved by any of the Future Entertainment Giants.

Hats off !!! to Baldev Raj Chopra, better known as B R Chopra. While I was still a kid, my only criterion to judge if a movie use to be the " KARMANE WA DE KARSTE ..." song , a BR Films trade mark which would make me postpone all my games,studies or what-so-ever and would glue me to the Idiot box which didn't use to be IDIOT in THOSE TIME (uuuhhhnnnn .. are we growing old ).

Although we understand the meaning of " KARMANE WA DE KARSTE ..." simple as "I just have the right to deed without any worries for the fruit " but people like BR Chopra's gives it even a more beautiful dimension: We have to be so Karmnestha in our deeds that they become a RIGHT TO JOY FOR THE WORLD to Cherish forever.

Two Movies

What is common between "Quantam of Solace" and "Welcome to SajjanPur" ?

For first one I paied £8 while the other I watched for free.One failed to impress me even after spending £116 million and filming 4 countries,while the other left me spellbound even in its small settings of some remote village, reason is not very difficult to find out.
One invested money,while the other invested mind.

James Bond failed to impress with all the action filled chasing sequences on air,water and earth.The reason might be that this time again it was not the Ian Fleming's 007 but some superhero in James suite.

Shayam Benagal, touch almost all of the issue,from nandigram to gram panchayat, faced by contemporary India without making us brood even for a minute.Spinning the story accross the spectrum with no dearth of humour and a lot of stuff to think over.


Bond better luck next time.
Bengal keep it up.